There has been a lot of talk about the chance of severe thunderstorms today. The risk will be high in the Midwest, but it appears the ingredients simply won't come together in Atlanta.
Scattered showers will develop in Atlanta Sunday evening and night. I'm expecting mostly showers in Atlanta, although an isolated storm with lightning isn't impossible. I don't think we'll see any severe weather in Metro Atlanta.
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms in the extreme northwestern parts of Georgia. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado are possible in this area.
Why just Northwest Georgia?
The biggest reason for the severe weather outbreak across the Midwest today is because of an incredible amount of wind energy moving across that part of the U.S. Some of that energy will stretch down into extreme north Georgia which is why the severe weather risk is there. The energy won't be nearly as strong by the time it makes it into Northwest Georgia which is why the risk of severe thunderstorms is only a slight one closer to home.
Warm and humid air
The other factor that I've been watching is warm and humid air. We need warm and humid air to feed into the storms so they can become severe. It's certainly humid, but I don't think it's warm enough. The recent arctic blast has made it very difficult for temperatures to warm up as much as normal for this time of year which is a big reason why I think we will see mostly showers in Atlanta, with only an isolated storm.
Remember that the threat of storms isn't at zero. I'll be watching the radar throughout the afternoon and evening and provide updates.
Scattered showers will move in after 3 p.m. Sunday afternoon and continue through the overnight hours. Our latest Futurecast forecast model is not showing a lot of rain.
The rain will be over by the time you head out for school and work Monday morning!
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